Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 12 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 15 July 2026 at 13:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 21st strongest of the 49 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 15 at 4:20AM CDT until July 15 at 8:00AM CDT by NWS Austin/San Antonio TX
Nearby, since 11 March 2026
- March 11, 2026 · score 40 · 4.2 km
- May 26, 2026 · score 34 · 14.4 km
- March 11, 2026 · score 46 · 19.3 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 22 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.61/1 |
| Coordinates | 29.7120, -99.4939 |
| Nearest City | Kerrville (51 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-15T09:20:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d86b474c0e4154be1ab0097332b41de9 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-15T09:20:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-07-15T09:38:17.341Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Edwards, TX; Kinney, TX; Real, TX; Gillespie, TX; Kerr, TX; Uvalde, TX and 1 more areas |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued July 15 at 4:20AM CDT until July 15 at 8:00AM CDT by NWS Austin/San Antonio TX |
| Expires | 2026-07-15T08:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Austin/San Antonio TX |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 4 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d86b474c0e4154be1ab0097332b41de9a2487738.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.dbde200975aa135f47cbc8d169d0acaac21b4e94.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.23ff0b0d30de37097d5d09ad52a481aac8d10a53.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.75dba241eacb65600c55f84571a14115e5e319e6.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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